#THE WITCHER 3 MULTIPLAYER SOFTWARE#

So to truly understand the amount of bugs and the estimates, you need to know exactly the types of bugs you're dealing with and their historical estimate accuracies. You could of course also work give the team time to reserach those tickets, but that in itself takes time and the team obviously can't work on all of them at the same time. If you are trusting 'quick' estimates and average for each bug ticket is an hour, you're looking at a potential expected outcome of 5000 hrs to 70 000 hrs. Now, let's try to extrapolate that single learning (of course in a real project you can get an average from more than a single bug ticket) to AAA project where you have over 5000 active bug tickets. a researched estimate, that was only off by 2 (consistent number, which leads/managers can realistically work with, buffering 2x estimated time for example), but it took 7,5 hours to uncover that quick estimate, the estimate was off by a magnitude of 14

But in the end the bug estimated to be 7,5 hours in the project tracker took 112,5 hours to fix and to get it fully confirmed it will take a lead time of 2 days (until which it can still bounce back as an invalid fix, or it may have broken other things that the developer did not have time to fix. that's highly dependent on the overall amount of other things going around. Now, that's only the work to fix the bug, but after that there's an overhead of 20 hours of building, testing etc. In the end it takes 2 weeks for the engineer to fix ( even well researched estimates easily, and often are off by magnitude of 2, depending of course on what culture for estimation in the team is). After a day they come to you and say that after a days research, it actually looks like it will take about a week to fix. There's a bug and an engineer takes a look at and estimates it to be a day to fix.

#THE WITCHER 3 MULTIPLAYER SOFTWARE#

Click to shrink.People wouldn't know the slightest reality of said statistics (hell, most developers even after years of working in software still absolutely suck not only at estimating things, but using those estimates).

The witcher 3 multiplayer